PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stadium de Toulouse

Toulouse 4–0 Metz · Ligue 1

4–0Historical match

Metz

LDLDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Toulouse won 4–0.

Shots
162
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
2.540.08
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Toulouse beat Metz 4–0. Recorded in this match (Toulouse – Metz): shots 16–2, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 2.54–0.08, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Metz show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Metz's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsToulouse · Metz7.13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricToulouseMetzBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match7.13 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match14.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metz have a visible away split

weak

Metz's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

8.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season7.13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.75 shots/match7.13 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metz's recent record differs from the season

weak

Metz's last-five shots average is below their season average.

6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season7.13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots6 shots/match7.13 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots2 shotsToulouse 16 shots, Metz 2 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsToulouse 7 shots, Metz 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.54 xG0.08 xGToulouse 2.54 xG, Metz 0.08 xG
  • Possession36%64%Toulouse 36%, Metz 64%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerToulouse 5 corners, Metz 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsToulouse 14 fouls, Metz 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardToulouse 2 cards, Metz 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Frank Magri · Toulouse · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiorgi Abuashvili · Metz · 22′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEmersonn · Toulouse · 74′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYann Gboho · Toulouse · 18′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAbu Francis · Toulouse · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFrank Magri · Toulouse · 2′ · 0.06 xG · goalHabibou Diallo · Metz · 28′ · 0.06 xG · on targetEmersonn · Toulouse · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYann Gboho · Toulouse · 53′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Cresswell · Toulouse · 84′ · 0.11 xG · goalYann Gboho · Toulouse · 75′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAron Dønnum · Toulouse · 87′ · 0.13 xG · on targetDayann Methalie · Toulouse · 37′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Cresswell · Toulouse · 73′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedYann Gboho · Toulouse · 79′ · 0.14 xG · goalEmersonn · Toulouse · 53′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedEmersonn · Toulouse · 66′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blockedAron Dønnum · Toulouse · 8′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Toulouse: 16 shots, 7 on target, 2.60 xG. Metz: 2 shots, 2 on target, 0.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Frank Magri · Toulouse · 2′Aron Dønnum · Toulouse · 8′Yann Gboho · Toulouse · 79′Charlie Cresswell · Toulouse · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Toulouse 2.60 xG · Metz 0.10 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Toulouse
0Draws
0Metz
Metz — Toulouse · Ligue 10–1
Toulouse — Metz · Ligue 13–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Toulouse favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Metz in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Toulouse8 matchesMetz8 matches
1.88 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.63 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/82.5 goals/match
1.64 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/80.91 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots8/87.13 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/81.88 shots/match
39.6%Possession8/8● 50.1%
4.13 corners/match ●Corners8/83.75 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards8/81.25 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls8/811.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsToulouseMetz
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headToulouse — Metz
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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