Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeStade Jean BouinFull-time recap

Paris FC

LLWW

2–3Full-time recap

Strasbourg

WWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Paris FC	Strasbourg
Shots	18 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Possession	61%	39%
Corners	4 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	10 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	5 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Paris FC: 18 shots, 6 on target, 1.60 xG. Strasbourg: 8 shots, 4 on target, 2.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris FC 1.60 xG · Strasbourg 2.29 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Paris FC favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Strasbourg in 5 · 5 too close

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/51.6 goals/match

2.4 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/5▲1 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

14.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 5/510.6 shots/match

12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/5▲10.2 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 5/54.6 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/5▲2.6 shots/match

54.6%Possessionseason · 5/551.2%

5.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/54.2 corners/match

4.4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/54.4 corners/match

1.4 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 5/52.8 cards/match

9.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/510.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/5▲60%

80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Paris FC63.9

Strasbourg58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Paris FC79.6

Strasbourg50.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Paris FC34.3

Strasbourg83.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Paris FC80.6

Strasbourg8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Paris FC15.2

Strasbourg50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Paris FC63.9

Strasbourg38.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Paris FC59.7

Strasbourg37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match

2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14.8 shots/match▲Shots5/510.6 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.6 shots/match

54.6%Possession5/551.2%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

1.4 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match

9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match

2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14.8 shots/match▲Shots5/510.6 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.6 shots/match

54.6%Possession5/551.2%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

1.4 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match

9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match

2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14.8 shots/match▲Shots5/510.6 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.6 shots/match

54.6%Possession5/551.2%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

1.4 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match

9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 3 matches

—Goals scored2/32 goals/match

—Goals allowed2/31.67 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

—Shots2/39.67 shots/match

—Shots on target2/34 shots/match

—Possession2/352.7%

—Corners2/33.33 corners/match

—Cards2/33 cards/match

—Fouls2/311.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.91 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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