Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Francis-Le Blé

Stade Brestois 1–2 Paris FC · Ligue 1

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris FC won 1–2.

Shots
237
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
2.571.55
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris FC beat Stade Brestois 29 2–1. Recorded in this match (Stade Brestois 29 – Paris FC): shots 23–7, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 2.57–1.55, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris FC have a visible away split

weak

Paris FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match14 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Stade Brestois 29 show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Stade Brestois 29's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Brestois 29 · Paris FC14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade Brestois 29Paris FCBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match14 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match14 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Paris FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.3%PossessionStade Brestois 29 · Paris FC● 53%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricStade Brestois 29Paris FCBaseline
Possession44.3%53%48.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots7 shotsStade Brestois 23 shots, Paris FC 7 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsStade Brestois 8 shots, Paris FC 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.57 xG1.55 xGStade Brestois 2.57 xG, Paris FC 1.55 xG
  • Possession46%54%Stade Brestois 46%, Paris FC 54%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerStade Brestois 6 corners, Paris FC 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsStade Brestois 11 fouls, Paris FC 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards3 cardsStade Brestois 0 cards, Paris FC 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hamidou Makalou · Stade Brestois 29 · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBrendan Chardonnet · Stade Brestois 29 · 37′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJoris Chotard · Stade Brestois 29 · 40′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 40′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJunior Dina Ebimbe · Stade Brestois 29 · 77′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVincent Marchetti · Paris FC · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHamidou Makalou · Stade Brestois 29 · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoris Chotard · Stade Brestois 29 · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoris Chotard · Stade Brestois 29 · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBrendan Chardonnet · Stade Brestois 29 · 25′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMaxime López · Paris FC · 82′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKenny Lala · Stade Brestois 29 · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMichel Diaz · Stade Brestois 29 · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMama Baldé · Stade Brestois 29 · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKenny Lala · Stade Brestois 29 · 43′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMama Baldé · Stade Brestois 29 · 1′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPathé Mboup · Stade Brestois 29 · 47′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIlan Kebbal · Paris FC · 68′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBrendan Chardonnet · Stade Brestois 29 · 43′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMama Baldé · Stade Brestois 29 · 43′ · 0.15 xG · on targetRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 32′ · 0.18 xG · on targetBrendan Chardonnet · Stade Brestois 29 · 23′ · 0.22 xG · on targetVincent Marchetti · Paris FC · 34′ · 0.22 xG · on targetMama Baldé · Stade Brestois 29 · 43′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedWillem Geubbels · Paris FC · 14′ · 0.35 xG · goalIlan Kebbal · Paris FC · 29′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 32′ · 0.43 xG · off target or blockedVincent Marchetti · Paris FC · 34′ · 0.59 xG · goalRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 52′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Brestois 29: 23 shots, 8 on target, 2.82 xG. Paris FC: 7 shots, 4 on target, 1.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Romain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 52′Willem Geubbels · Paris FC · 14′Vincent Marchetti · Paris FC · 34′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Brestois 29 2.82 xG · Paris FC 1.70 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Brestois favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Paris FC in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Brestois4 matchesParis FC4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 1.75 goals/match
2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 2.25 goals/match
1.66 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.69 xG/match
16.5 shots/match ▲Shots4/414 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 6 shots/match
44.3%Possession4/4● 53%
4.5 corners/matchCorners4/4● 6 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards4/41.5 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls4/49 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Sept 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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