Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Francis-Le Blé

Stade Brestois 4–1 Nice · Ligue 1

4–1Historical match

Nice

LWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Brestois won 4–1.

Shots
1121
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
2.032.33
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Brestois 29 beat Nice 4–1. Recorded in this match (Stade Brestois 29 – Nice): shots 11–21, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 2.03–2.33, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nice show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Nice's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Brestois 29 · Nice15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade Brestois 29NiceBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match15.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Nice have recorded the higher season possession share.

43%PossessionStade Brestois 29 · Nice● 58.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricStade Brestois 29NiceBaseline
Possession43%58.4%48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots21 shotsStade Brestois 11 shots, Nice 21 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsStade Brestois 5 shots, Nice 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.03 xG2.33 xGStade Brestois 2.03 xG, Nice 2.33 xG
  • Possession38%62%Stade Brestois 38%, Nice 62%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersStade Brestois 2 corners, Nice 7 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls11 foulsStade Brestois 17 fouls, Nice 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsStade Brestois 1 card, Nice 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tiago Gouveia · Nice · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMelvin Bard · Nice · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 9′ · 0.03 xG · goalJoris Chotard · Stade Brestois 29 · 70′ · 0.03 xG · goalIsak Jansson · Nice · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKevin Carlos Omoruyi · Nice · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJérémie Boga · Nice · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPathé Mboup · Stade Brestois 29 · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHicham Boudaoui · Nice · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSofiane Diop · Nice · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIsak Jansson · Nice · 66′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKevin Carlos Omoruyi · Nice · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKevin Carlos Omoruyi · Nice · 88′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSofiane Diop · Nice · 3′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTiago Gouveia · Nice · 42′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHicham Boudaoui · Nice · 43′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 52′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTerem Moffi · Nice · 58′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKevin Carlos Omoruyi · Nice · 74′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTiago Gouveia · Nice · 34′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSofiane Diop · Nice · 81′ · 0.09 xG · on targetLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 78′ · 0.10 xG · on targetTerem Moffi · Nice · 59′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 3′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJérémie Boga · Nice · 16′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Sanson · Nice · 90′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedRemy Labeau Lascary · Stade Brestois 29 · 76′ · 0.50 xG · goalTerem Moffi · Nice · 30′ · 0.77 xG · goalLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 6′ · 0.98 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Brestois 29: 11 shots, 5 on target, 2.08 xG. Nice: 21 shots, 4 on target, 2.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ludovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 6′Romain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 9′Joris Chotard · Stade Brestois 29 · 70′Remy Labeau Lascary · Stade Brestois 29 · 76′Terem Moffi · Nice · 30′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Brestois 29 2.08 xG · Nice 2.29 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Stade Brestois
2Draws
2Nice
Nice — Stade Brestois · Ligue 16–0
Stade Brestois — Nice · Ligue 10–1
Stade Brestois — Nice · Ligue 10–0
Nice — Stade Brestois · Ligue 10–0
Stade Brestois — Nice · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Brestois favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Nice in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Brestois5 matchesNice5 matches
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.8 goals/match
1.73 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.49 xG/match
15.4 shots/matchShots5/515.2 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
43%Possession5/5● 58.4%
4 corners/matchCorners5/5● 6.6 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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