Ligue 1 · 2025Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeStade de la BeaujoireFull-time recap

Nantes

LLWL

2–2Full-time recap

Rennes

WLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Nantes	Rennes
Shots	16 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Possession	43%	57%
Corners	4 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	18 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	2 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Nantes: 16 shots, 4 on target, 2.14 xG. Rennes: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.41 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nantes 2.14 xG · Rennes 1.41 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rennes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Rennes have a visible away split

weak

Rennes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9 shots/match	12.4 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Nantes favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Rennes in 5 · 6 too close

0.6 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

9.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/5▲12.4 shots/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 5/516 shots/match

2.4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/5▲4.4 shots/match

4.8 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/55 shots/match

41.4%Possessionseason · 5/549%

3.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/53.8 corners/match

6.8 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/5▲4.8 corners/match

1.2 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 5/52.2 cards/match

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/512.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/520%

40%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5▲80%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Nantes13.9

Rennes47.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Nantes9.3

Rennes50.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Nantes43.5

Rennes25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Nantes30.6

Rennes52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Nantes22.2

Rennes58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Nantes22.2

Rennes22.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Nantes20.1

Rennes44.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

9.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.4 shots/match

2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.4 shots/match

41.4%Possession5/549%

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

1.2 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match

11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches

0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

9.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.4 shots/match

2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.4 shots/match

41.4%Possession5/549%

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

1.2 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match

11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches

0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

9.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.4 shots/match

2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.4 shots/match

41.4%Possession5/549%

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

1.2 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match

11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored3/31 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/32.33 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

8.33 shots/matchShots3/3▲9 shots/match

2.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲4 shots/match

38.3%Possession3/356.3%

3 corners/matchCorners3/34.33 corners/match

1.33 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFouls3/312 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.84 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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