PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade de la Beaujoire

Nantes 2–2 Stade Rennais · Ligue 1

Nantes

LLWL
2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nantes and Stade Rennais drew 2–2.

Shots
168
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
2.111.37
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nantes and Rennes drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Nantes – Rennes): shots 16–8, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 2.11–1.37, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rennes have a visible away split

weak

Rennes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots8 shotsNantes 16 shots, Stade Rennais 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsNantes 4 shots, Stade Rennais 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.11 xG1.37 xGNantes 2.11 xG, Stade Rennais 1.37 xG
  • Possession43%57%Nantes 43%, Stade Rennais 57%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersNantes 4 corners, Stade Rennais 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls18 foulsNantes 14 fouls, Stade Rennais 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsNantes 2 cards, Stade Rennais 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ludovic Blas · Rennes · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Rennes · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLouis Leroux · Nantes · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrancis Coquelin · Nantes · 75′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDehmaine Tabibou · Nantes · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLouis Leroux · Nantes · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Rennes · 40′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMatthis Abline · Nantes · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJohann Lepenant · Nantes · 66′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSeko Fofana · Rennes · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMatthis Abline · Nantes · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedValentin Rongier · Rennes · 36′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYoussef El Arabi · Nantes · 90′ · 0.13 xG · goalMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 50′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 8′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 64′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJunior Mwanga · Nantes · 64′ · 0.25 xG · goalEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 35′ · 0.34 xG · goalLudovic Blas · Rennes · 29′ · 0.82 xG · goalMatthis Abline · Nantes · 90′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nantes: 16 shots, 4 on target, 2.14 xG. Rennes: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.41 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Junior Mwanga · Nantes · 64′Youssef El Arabi · Nantes · 90′Ludovic Blas · Rennes · 29′Esteban Lepaul · Rennes · 35′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nantes 2.14 xG · Rennes 1.41 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Nantes
0Draws
4Stade Rennais
Stade Rennais — Nantes · Ligue 12–1
Nantes — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–0
Nantes — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–3
Stade Rennais — Nantes · Ligue 13–1
Nantes — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nantes favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Rennais in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nantes5 matchesStade Rennais5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.4 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
0.78 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.3 xG/match
9.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 12.4 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 4.4 shots/match
41.4%Possession5/5● 49%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
1.2 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNantesStade Rennais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headNantes — Stade Rennais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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