Ligue 1 · 2025Allianz Riviera

Nice 1–0 Nantes · Ligue 1

Nice

LWL
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nice won 1–0.

Shots
1914
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
1.750.75
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nice beat Nantes 1–0. Recorded in this match (Nice – Nantes): shots 19–14, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 1.75–0.75, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nice show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Nice's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsNice · Nantes8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNiceNantesBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match8 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match16.5 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Nice have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.5% ●PossessionNice · Nantes41%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNiceNantesBaseline
Possession57.5%41%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Nice have a visible home split

weak

Nice's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots14 shotsNice 19 shots, Nantes 14 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsNice 8 shots, Nantes 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.75 xG0.75 xGNice 1.75 xG, Nantes 0.75 xG
  • Possession59%41%Nice 59%, Nantes 41%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersNice 7 corners, Nantes 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls14 foulsNice 16 fouls, Nantes 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsNice 2 cards, Nantes 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dante · Nice · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKelvin Amian · Nantes · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHicham Boudaoui · Nice · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJohann Lepenant · Nantes · 11′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSofiane Diop · Nice · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKojo Peprah Oppong · Nice · 20′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDante · Nice · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAmady Camara · Nantes · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKelvin Amian · Nantes · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHicham Boudaoui · Nice · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 72′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJohann Lepenant · Nantes · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKevin Carlos Omoruyi · Nice · 2′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKevin Carlos Omoruyi · Nice · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSofiane Diop · Nice · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMelvin Bard · Nice · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJérémie Boga · Nice · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJérémie Boga · Nice · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKelvin Amian · Nantes · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIsak Jansson · Nice · 85′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJérémie Boga · Nice · 56′ · 0.08 xG · goalAnthony Lopes · Nantes · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTerem Moffi · Nice · 62′ · 0.10 xG · on targetKevin Carlos Omoruyi · Nice · 35′ · 0.12 xG · on targetHicham Boudaoui · Nice · 17′ · 0.16 xG · on targetHong Hyun-seok · Nantes · 18′ · 0.36 xG · on targetJérémie Boga · Nice · 68′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedTerem Moffi · Nice · 84′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nice: 19 shots, 8 on target, 1.75 xG. Nantes: 14 shots, 3 on target, 0.78 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jérémie Boga · Nice · 56′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nice 1.75 xG · Nantes 0.78 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Nice
2Draws
3Nantes
Nice — Nantes · Ligue 11–2
Nantes — Nice · Ligue 11–1
Nice — Nantes · Ligue 11–2
Nantes — Nice · Ligue 11–0
Nantes — Nice · Ligue 12–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nice favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Nantes in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nice4 matchesNantes4 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/40.25 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 0.75 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.45 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots4/48 shots/match
4.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/42 shots/match
57.5% ●Possession4/441%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners4/43.75 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards4/41 card/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls4/410.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required