Ligue 1 · 2025Stade de la Meinau

RC Strasbourg 1–2 Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 1

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique de Marseille won 1–2.

Shots
916
Shots on target
19
Expected goals
1.362.02
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Marseille beat Strasbourg 2–1. Recorded in this match (Strasbourg – Marseille): shots 9–16, shots on target 1–9, expected goals 1.36–2.02, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Marseille's recent record differs from the season

weak

Marseille's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match2 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Strasbourg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Strasbourg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsStrasbourg · Marseille13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStrasbourgMarseilleBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots16 shotsRC Strasbourg 9 shots, Olympique de Marseille 16 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot9 shotsRC Strasbourg 1 shot, Olympique de Marseille 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.36 xG2.02 xGRC Strasbourg 1.36 xG, Olympique de Marseille 2.02 xG
  • Possession40%60%RC Strasbourg 40%, Olympique de Marseille 60%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersRC Strasbourg 5 corners, Olympique de Marseille 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls15 foulsRC Strasbourg 13 fouls, Olympique de Marseille 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsRC Strasbourg 2 cards, Olympique de Marseille 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg · Marseille · 1′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Balerdi · Marseille · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDiego Moreira · Strasbourg · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTimothy Weah · Marseille · 8′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKendry Páez · Strasbourg · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 88′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAmine Gouiri · Marseille · 30′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLeonardo Balerdi · Marseille · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emile Højbjerg · Marseille · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Emegha · Strasbourg · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIgor Paixão · Marseille · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIgor Paixão · Marseille · 41′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 72′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAmir Murillo · Marseille · 90′ · 0.10 xG · goalPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Marseille · 78′ · 0.11 xG · on targetLeonardo Balerdi · Marseille · 31′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAbdoul Ouattara · Strasbourg · 49′ · 0.20 xG · goalAmine Gouiri · Marseille · 54′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 73′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedRobinio Vaz · Marseille · 90′ · 0.33 xG · on targetPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Marseille · 78′ · 0.34 xG · goalValentín Barco · Strasbourg · 20′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Marseille · 8′ · 0.62 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Strasbourg: 9 shots, 1 on target, 1.35 xG. Marseille: 16 shots, 9 on target, 2.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Abdoul Ouattara · Strasbourg · 49′Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Marseille · 78′Amir Murillo · Marseille · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Strasbourg 1.35 xG · Marseille 2.07 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1RC Strasbourg
4Draws
0Olympique de Marseille
Olympique de Marseille — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–1
RC Strasbourg — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–0
Olympique de Marseille — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–1
RC Strasbourg — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–1
Olympique de Marseille — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Strasbourg favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique de Marseille in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Strasbourg6 matchesOlympique de Marseille6 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 2 goals/match
1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.79 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 13.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5 shots/match
49.3%Possession6/6● 56.5%
4.33 corners/matchCorners6/6● 6.67 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards6/62.83 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls6/613.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 26 Sept 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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