Ligue 1 · 2025Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Auxerre 1–0 Toulouse · Ligue 1

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Auxerre won 1–0.

Shots
613
Shots on target
13
Expected goals
0.752.33
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Auxerre beat Toulouse 1–0. Recorded in this match (Auxerre – Toulouse): shots 6–13, shots on target 1–3, expected goals 0.75–2.33, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Auxerre have a visible home split

weak

Auxerre's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.33 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.33 shots/match9.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots13 shotsAuxerre 6 shots, Toulouse 13 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot3 shotsAuxerre 1 shot, Toulouse 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.75 xG2.33 xGAuxerre 0.75 xG, Toulouse 2.33 xG
  • Possession40%60%Auxerre 40%, Toulouse 60%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersAuxerre 3 corners, Toulouse 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls20 foulsAuxerre 12 fouls, Toulouse 20 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card6 cardsAuxerre 1 card, Toulouse 6 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Telli Siwe · Auxerre · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmersonn · Toulouse · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCristian Cásseres Jr. · Toulouse · 19′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEmersonn · Toulouse · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEmersonn · Toulouse · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 57′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYann Gboho · Toulouse · 66′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYann Gboho · Toulouse · 4′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedYann Gboho · Toulouse · 8′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Cresswell · Toulouse · 1′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedEmersonn · Toulouse · 85′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Cresswell · Toulouse · 24′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedFrank Magri · Toulouse · 59′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedEmersonn · Toulouse · 81′ · 0.40 xG · on targetDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 45′ · 0.54 xG · goalFrank Magri · Toulouse · 3′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Auxerre: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.70 xG. Toulouse: 13 shots, 3 on target, 2.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Danny Namaso · Auxerre · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Auxerre 0.70 xG · Toulouse 2.37 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Auxerre
2Draws
2Toulouse
Auxerre — Toulouse · Ligue 12–2
Toulouse — Auxerre · Ligue 12–0
Toulouse — Auxerre · Ligue 11–1
Auxerre — Toulouse · Ligue 10–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Auxerre favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Toulouse in 3 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Auxerre5 matchesToulouse5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.45 xG/match
9.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 10.4 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
43.8% ●Possession5/540.8%
5 corners/match ●Corners5/54.4 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/53 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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