PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 15:15 UTCFull timeStade Louis IIFull-time recap

Monaco

WLWW
5–2Full-time recap

Metz

LLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMonacoMetz
Shots16 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession43%57%
Corners4 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match6 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Metz's away-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Metz's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Metz have a visible away split

weak

Metz's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season8.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match8.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metz show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Metz's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12 shots/match▲ShotsMonaco · Metz8.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMonacoMetzBaseline
Shots12 shots/match8.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Monaco favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Metz in 1 · 6 too close

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/51 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 5/52.6 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
12 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 5/58.8 shots/match
11.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 5/514.4 shots/match
3.4 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 5/52.4 shots/match
2.8 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 5/56.2 shots/match
55.4%Possessionseason · 5/549.2%
5.2 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/54.2 corners/match
5.4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/55.6 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/5▲1.2 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/511 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/50%
80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 5/560%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Monaco75
Metz52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Monaco52.8
Metz11.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Monaco69.4
Metz11.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Monaco13.9
Metz2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Monaco69.5
Metz18.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Monaco58.3
Metz38.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Monaco50
Metz19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/match▲Shots5/58.8 shots/match
3.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.4 shots/match
55.4%Possession5/549.2%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches
2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/match▲Shots5/58.8 shots/match
3.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.4 shots/match
55.4%Possession5/549.2%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches
2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/match▲Shots5/58.8 shots/match
3.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.4 shots/match
55.4%Possession5/549.2%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
3.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/33.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.7 shots/match▲Shots3/311 shots/match
4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/32.33 shots/match
53.3%Possession3/351%
5 corners/matchCorners3/34.67 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls3/39.67 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.84 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsMonacoMetz
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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