PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Bollaert-Delelis

RC Lens 3–1 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Lens won 3–1.

Shots
309
Shots on target
102
Expected goals
3.991.08
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lens beat Stade Brestois 29 3–1. Recorded in this match (Lens – Stade Brestois 29): shots 30–9, shots on target 10–2, expected goals 3.99–1.08, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Lens have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.3% ●PossessionLens · Stade Brestois 2943.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLensStade Brestois 29Baseline
Possession55.3%43.7%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots30 shots9 shotsRC Lens 30 shots, Stade Brestois 9 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots2 shotsRC Lens 10 shots, Stade Brestois 2 shots
  • Expected goals3.99 xG1.08 xGRC Lens 3.99 xG, Stade Brestois 1.08 xG
  • Possession68%32%RC Lens 68%, Stade Brestois 32%
  • Corners15 corners1 cornerRC Lens 15 corners, Stade Brestois 1 corner
  • Fouls7 fouls12 foulsRC Lens 7 fouls, Stade Brestois 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsRC Lens 1 card, Stade Brestois 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jonathan Gradit · Lens · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDeiver Machado · Lens · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRayan Fofana · Lens · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSamson Baidoo · Lens · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatthieu Udol · Lens · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoris Chotard · Stade Brestois 29 · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMama Baldé · Stade Brestois 29 · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatthieu Udol · Lens · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 66′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMatthieu Udol · Lens · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSamson Baidoo · Lens · 63′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJustin Bourgault · Stade Brestois 29 · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSaud Abdulhamid · Lens · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatthieu Udol · Lens · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJulien Le Cardinal · Stade Brestois 29 · 47′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Guilavogui · Lens · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDeiver Machado · Lens · 38′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 50′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMatthieu Udol · Lens · 67′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMamadou Sangare · Lens · 78′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMatthieu Udol · Lens · 77′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRayan Fofana · Lens · 23′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 62′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMalang Sarr · Lens · 5′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 26′ · 0.13 xG · on targetLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 48′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRayan Fofana · Lens · 63′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Guilavogui · Lens · 78′ · 0.14 xG · goalMorgan Guilavogui · Lens · 85′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · Lens · 41′ · 0.18 xG · on targetMalang Sarr · Lens · 5′ · 0.22 xG · on targetRayan Fofana · Lens · 62′ · 0.30 xG · on targetAdrien Thomasson · Lens · 90′ · 0.32 xG · goalRayan Fofana · Lens · 28′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · Lens · 33′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedMama Baldé · Stade Brestois 29 · 24′ · 0.52 xG · goalFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 60′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lens: 30 shots, 10 on target, 4.07 xG. Stade Brestois 29: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Florian Thauvin · Lens · 60′Morgan Guilavogui · Lens · 78′Adrien Thomasson · Lens · 90′Mama Baldé · Stade Brestois 29 · 24′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lens 4.07 xG · Stade Brestois 29 1.10 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3RC Lens
1Draws
1Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois — RC Lens · Ligue 11–3
RC Lens — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–0
RC Lens — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–0
Stade Brestois — RC Lens · Ligue 13–2
Stade Brestois — RC Lens · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Lens favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Lens3 matchesStade Brestois3 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/31.33 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed3/32.67 goals/match
2.15 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.35 xG/match
18 shots/match ▲Shots3/314.3 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/33 shots/match
55.3% ●Possession3/343.7%
9.33 corners/match ●Corners3/34 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/32.33 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls3/311 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 29 Aug 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC LensStade Brestois
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headRC Lens — Stade Brestois
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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