Ligue 1 · 2025Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeStade du MoustoirFull-time recap

Lorient

LW

1–7Full-time recap

Lille

DW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Lorient	Lille
Shots	6 shots/match	20 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	11 shots/match▲
Possession	41%	59%
Corners	3 corners/match	8 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	18 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	3 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Lorient: 6 shots, 2 on target, 2.00 xG. Lille: 20 shots, 11 on target, 3.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lorient 2.00 xG · Lille 3.60 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lorient favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Lille in 0 · 14 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/33.67 goals/match

2.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31.33 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

14 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/316 shots/match

10.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/310 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/36 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/32.67 shots/match

49.3%Possessionseason · 3/354.3%

3.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/36 corners/match

4.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/32.67 corners/match

3.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/31.67 cards/match

15.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/312.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lorient58.3

Lille75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lorient50

Lille83.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lorient38.9

Lille77.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lorient41.7

Lille58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lorient91.7

Lille50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lorient8.3

Lille75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lorient45.9

Lille72.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲3.67 goals/match

2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1.33 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14 shots/matchShots3/3▲16 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲6 shots/match

49.3%Possession3/354.3%

3.33 corners/matchCorners3/36 corners/match

3.67 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match

15.3 fouls/matchFouls3/312.7 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲3.67 goals/match

2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1.33 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14 shots/matchShots3/3▲16 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲6 shots/match

49.3%Possession3/354.3%

3.33 corners/matchCorners3/36 corners/match

3.67 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match

15.3 fouls/matchFouls3/312.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲3.67 goals/match

2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1.33 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14 shots/matchShots3/3▲16 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲6 shots/match

49.3%Possession3/354.3%

3.33 corners/matchCorners3/36 corners/match

3.67 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match

15.3 fouls/matchFouls3/312.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals0/0—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards2/2—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.84 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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