Bournemouth
Premier League · 2025Bournemouth 1–1 Manchester City · Premier League
A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.
Match at a glance
Bournemouth and Manchester City drew 1–1.
- Shots
- 10–14
- Shots on target
- 2–5
- Expected goals
- 1.99–1.68
- Possession
- 45%–55%
Full time
What the match recorded
Bournemouth and Manchester City drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Bournemouth – Manchester City): shots 10–14, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.99–1.68, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Manchester City's recent record differs from the season
moderateManchester City's last-five shots average is above their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 20.4 shots/match | 15.6 shots/match | 12.5 shots/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Both teams have elevated corners records
weakEach team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Bournemouth | Manchester City | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 5.65 corners/match | 6.35 corners/match | 4.95 corners/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
Manchester City show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakManchester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Bournemouth | Manchester City | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 13.7 shots/match | 15.6 shots/match | 12.5 shots/match |
| Shots against | 12.5 shots/match | 9.65 shots/match | 12.3 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Bournemouth favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Manchester City in 10 · 1 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Bournemouth / Manchester City
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
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