PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Wed, 22 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTCFull timeVitality StadiumFull-time recap
2–2Full-time recap

Leeds

LDDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBournemouthLeeds
Shots17 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Expected goals1.45 xG/match▲0.86 xG/match
Possession60%40%
Corners12 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Bournemouth
1Draws
0Leeds
Leeds — Bournemouth · Premier League2–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bournemouth favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Leeds in 4 · 4 too close

1.53 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 34/341.29 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/341.5 goals/match
2.02 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 5/51.51 xG/match
1.54 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/5▲0.9 xG/match
13.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 34/3412.6 shots/match
12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/3412.2 shots/match
4.74 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 34/343.97 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/34▲4.09 shots/match
50.5%Possessionseason · 34/3445.8%
5.68 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/344.41 corners/match
5.18 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/34▲4.82 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCardsseason · 30/31▲1.68 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3410.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
26%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/3421%
79%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 34/3468%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bournemouth52.5
Leeds27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bournemouth77.5
Leeds47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bournemouth27.5
Leeds47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bournemouth87.5
Leeds92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth85
Leeds35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth72.5
Leeds27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bournemouth80
Leeds42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match
2.02 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.51 xG/match
14.8 shots/match▲Shots5/513 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/54.4 shots/match
54.4%Possession5/547%
6 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
—Cards1/2—
10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.3 goals/match
0.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.9 goals/match
2.02 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.51 xG/match
14.9 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.9 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.9 shots/match
54%Possession10/1046.1%
5.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match
2.17 cards/matchCards6/72.29 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

34 / 34 matches
1.53 goals/match▲Goals scored34/341.29 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed34/341.5 goals/match
2.02 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.51 xG/match
13.8 shots/match▲Shots34/3412.6 shots/match
4.74 shots/match▲Shots on target34/343.97 shots/match
50.5%Possession34/3445.8%
5.68 corners/matchCorners34/344.41 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards30/311.68 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls34/3410.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 17 matches
1.47 goals/match▲Goals scored17/171.12 goals/match
1.12 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/171.82 goals/match
—Expected goals2/31.45 xG/match
14.6 shots/match▲Shots17/1710.7 shots/match
4.65 shots/match▲Shots on target17/173.59 shots/match
53.2%Possession17/1743.1%
5.88 corners/matchCorners17/173.29 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards16/161.88 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.21 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 22 Apr 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBournemouthLeeds
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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