PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Thu, 5 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeTottenham Hotspur StadiumFull-time recap
1–3Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTottenhamCrystal Palace
Shots12 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Possession40%60%
Corners6 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Crystal Palace's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.34 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Crystal Palace have a visible away split

moderate

Crystal Palace's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.67 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.67 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Tottenham
0Draws
0Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace — Tottenham · Premier League0–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Tottenham favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Crystal Palace in 5 · 7 too close

1.34 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 29/291.14 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 29/29▲1.21 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11 shots/matchShotsseason · 29/29▲11.7 shots/match
12.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 29/29▲11.6 shots/match
3.72 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 29/293.79 shots/match
4.28 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 29/294.28 shots/match
50%Possessionseason · 29/2945.4%
4.97 corners/matchCornersseason · 29/294.14 corners/match
5.1 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 29/294.9 corners/match
2.76 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/29▲2.21 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/2910.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
24%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/29▲34%
83%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 29/2972%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham52.5
Crystal Palace27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham35
Crystal Palace32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham30
Crystal Palace56.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham12.5
Crystal Palace72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham88.8
Crystal Palace62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham47.5
Crystal Palace17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham46.2
Crystal Palace36.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.8 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.4 shots/match
42.8%Possession5/552.2%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/53 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match
2.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.4 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.4 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.5 shots/match
48.5%Possession10/1049.6%
4.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards10/103.1 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

29 / 29 matches
1.34 goals/match▲Goals scored29/291.14 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲1.21 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/matchShots29/29▲11.7 shots/match
3.72 shots/matchShots on target29/293.79 shots/match
50%Possession29/2945.4%
4.97 corners/matchCorners29/294.14 corners/match
2.76 cards/matchCards29/292.21 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls29/2910.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲1.27 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲1.13 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.9 shots/match▲Shots15/159.67 shots/match
3.93 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153.47 shots/match
51.3%Possession15/1544.5%
5.13 corners/matchCorners15/153.93 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards15/152.33 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.25 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.25 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 6 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsTottenhamCrystal Palace
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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