PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Wed, 4 Mar 2026, 19:30 UTCFull timeCraven CottageFull-time recap

Fulham

LLLWW
0–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFulhamWest Ham
Shots13 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession60%40%
Corners6 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fulham. A second useful context is: Fulham have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fulham.

3.23 days▲Rest daysFulham · West Ham4.19 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFulhamWest HamBaseline
Rest days3.23 days4.19 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Fulham have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.6%▲PossessionFulham · West Ham42.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFulhamWest HamBaseline
Possession51.6%42.7%50.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Fulham
0Draws
0West Ham
West Ham — Fulham · Premier League0–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Fulham favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · West Ham in 1 · 4 too close

1.38 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 29/291.21 goals/match
1.48 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 29/291.86 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
12.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 29/2910.5 shots/match
11.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 29/2914.8 shots/match
3.76 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 29/293.52 shots/match
3.9 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 29/295.34 shots/match
51.6%Possessionseason · 29/2942.7%
4.69 corners/matchCornersseason · 29/295.14 corners/match
5.69 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 29/296.28 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/29▲1.86 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/2911 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/2914%
79%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 29/2969%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fulham57.5
West Ham7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fulham44.2
West Ham25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fulham56.7
West Ham7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fulham37.5
West Ham52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fulham68.8
West Ham52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fulham37.5
West Ham57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fulham46.2
West Ham40.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14 shots/match▲Shots5/510.6 shots/match
3.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match
52%Possession5/542.8%
5 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.8 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.4 shots/match
3.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.5 shots/match
51.8%Possession10/1044.2%
4.6 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match
1.9 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

29 / 29 matches
1.38 goals/match▲Goals scored29/291.21 goals/match
1.48 goals/match▲Goals allowed29/291.86 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.2 shots/match▲Shots29/2910.5 shots/match
3.76 shots/match▲Shots on target29/293.52 shots/match
51.6%Possession29/2942.7%
4.69 corners/matchCorners29/295.14 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCards29/291.86 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls29/2911 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored15/151.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.3 shots/match▲Shots15/159.87 shots/match
3.73 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153.47 shots/match
53.4%Possession15/1542.7%
5.27 corners/matchCorners15/154.47 corners/match
1.73 cards/matchCards15/152 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.23 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.19 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 4 Mar 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsFulhamWest Ham
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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