PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 31 Jan 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeMolineux StadiumFull-time recap

Wolves

DWDDL
0–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWolvesBournemouth
Shots17 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Possession51%49%
Corners5 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bournemouth's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Bournemouth's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bournemouth's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14 fouls/match▲FoulsWolves · Bournemouth12.4 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricWolvesBournemouthBaseline
Fouls14 fouls/match12.4 fouls/match10.3 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Wolves
0Draws
1Bournemouth
Bournemouth — Wolves · Premier League1–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Wolves favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 6 · 6 too close

0.63 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 24/24▲1.67 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 24/241.79 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.33 shots/matchShotsseason · 24/24▲13.4 shots/match
13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 24/2412.8 shots/match
3.21 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 24/24▲4.79 shots/match
4.38 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 24/244.75 shots/match
44.3%Possessionseason · 24/2449%
3.46 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/245.58 corners/match
6.17 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 24/24▲5.21 corners/match
2.25 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 24/242.46 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2412.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
8%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/24▲25%
46%Scoring frequencyseason · 24/24▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Wolves27.5
Bournemouth47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Wolves7.5
Bournemouth76.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Wolves19.2
Bournemouth20.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Wolves2.5
Bournemouth87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Wolves87.5
Bournemouth88.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Wolves7.5
Bournemouth77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Wolves31.2
Bournemouth80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/matchShots5/511.6 shots/match
4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match
41.6%Possession5/540%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.9 goals/match
1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.8 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.8 shots/match
39.6%Possession10/1043.2%
4 corners/matchCorners10/105.7 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

24 / 24 matches
0.63 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲1.67 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed24/241.79 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.33 shots/matchShots24/24▲13.4 shots/match
3.21 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲4.79 shots/match
44.3%Possession24/2449%
3.46 corners/matchCorners24/245.58 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards24/242.46 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls24/2412.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 12 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲1.75 goals/match
2.08 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/122.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.2 shots/matchShots12/12▲13.3 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲5.33 shots/match
45.9%Possession12/1245.9%
3.25 corners/matchCorners12/126.17 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards12/122.83 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsWolvesBournemouth
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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