PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sun, 1 Feb 2026, 16:30 UTCFull timeTottenham Hotspur StadiumFull-time recap
2–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTottenhamManchester City
Shots12 shots/match15 shots/match▲
Shots on target6 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession40%60%
Corners3 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Tottenham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Tottenham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tottenham's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match11 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Tottenham show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Tottenham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11 shots/match▲ShotsTottenham · Manchester City14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTottenhamManchester CityBaseline
Shots11 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match9.46 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Tottenham
0Draws
0Manchester City
Manchester City — Tottenham · Premier League0–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Tottenham favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Manchester City in 9 · 5 too close

1.46 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 24/24▲2.04 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 24/24▲0.96 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11 shots/matchShotsseason · 24/24▲14.1 shots/match
11.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 24/24▲9.46 shots/match
3.96 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 24/24▲5 shots/match
3.92 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 24/24▲3.42 shots/match
51.5%Possessionseason · 24/2459.4%
5.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/245.54 corners/match
4.83 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 24/24▲3.75 corners/match
2.71 cards/matchCardsseason · 24/24▲1.75 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/249.96 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/24▲42%
83%Scoring frequencyseason · 24/2483%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham55
Manchester City92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham45
Manchester City89.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham60
Manchester City92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham7.5
Manchester City42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham85
Manchester City35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham57.5
Manchester City72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham51.2
Manchester City67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16 shots/match▲Shots5/513.8 shots/match
6.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match
54.2%Possession5/561.8%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.1 shots/match
5.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.6 shots/match
49.3%Possession10/1063.4%
4.2 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards10/101.6 cards/match
9.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

24 / 24 matches
1.46 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲2.04 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲0.96 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/matchShots24/24▲14.1 shots/match
3.96 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲5 shots/match
51.5%Possession24/2459.4%
5.25 corners/matchCorners24/245.54 corners/match
2.71 cards/matchCards24/241.75 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls24/249.96 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 12 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲1.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲1.25 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/matchShots12/1212.3 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target12/123.75 shots/match
53.1%Possession12/1259.2%
5.58 corners/matchCorners12/124.08 corners/match
3.25 cards/matchCards12/122.08 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls12/129.42 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.06 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.06 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Feb 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsTottenhamManchester City
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match