PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeStadium of LightFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSunderlandCrystal Palace
Shots13 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession57%43%
Corners3 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Crystal Palace's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.05 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.05 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Crystal Palace have a visible away split

moderate

Crystal Palace's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.73 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.73 shots/match11.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Sunderland
1Draws
0Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace — Sunderland · Premier League0–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sunderland favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Crystal Palace in 6 · 7 too close

1.05 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 22/221.05 goals/match
1.05 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 22/221.14 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.77 shots/matchShotsseason · 22/22▲11.5 shots/match
14.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 22/22▲11.7 shots/match
3.27 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 22/22▲3.77 shots/match
4.55 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 22/22▲4.09 shots/match
43.3%Possessionseason · 22/2243%
3.59 corners/matchCornersseason · 22/223.91 corners/match
4.91 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 22/225.05 corners/match
2.09 cards/matchCardsseason · 22/22▲1.86 cards/match
9.77 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2210 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
32%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/22▲36%
64%Scoring frequencyseason · 22/2264%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sunderland22.5
Crystal Palace15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sunderland15.8
Crystal Palace30.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sunderland39.2
Crystal Palace63.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sunderland27.5
Crystal Palace82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sunderland47.5
Crystal Palace46.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sunderland12.5
Crystal Palace17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sunderland17.5
Crystal Palace33.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShots5/510.8 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.4 shots/match
46.4%Possession5/545.4%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
8.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.9 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.7 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10 shots/matchShots10/10▲10.7 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103 shots/match
43.3%Possession10/1043.6%
3.9 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/101.9 cards/match
9.7 fouls/matchFouls10/109.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

22 / 22 matches
1.05 goals/matchGoals scored22/221.05 goals/match
1.05 goals/match▲Goals allowed22/221.14 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.77 shots/matchShots22/22▲11.5 shots/match
3.27 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲3.77 shots/match
43.3%Possession22/2243%
3.59 corners/matchCorners22/223.91 corners/match
2.09 cards/matchCards22/221.86 cards/match
9.77 fouls/matchFouls22/2210 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 11 matches
1.64 goals/match▲Goals scored11/111.18 goals/match
0.82 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.18 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.5 shots/match▲Shots11/119.73 shots/match
3.64 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.45 shots/match
43.5%Possession11/1142.3%
3.64 corners/matchCorners11/114 corners/match
2.36 cards/matchCards11/112.18 cards/match
9.91 fouls/matchFouls11/1110.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.81 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.81 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSunderlandCrystal Palace
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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