PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeTottenham Hotspur StadiumFull-time recap
2–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTottenhamBrentford
Shots15 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession53%47%
Corners7 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Tottenham, Brentford. A second useful context is: Tottenham have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Tottenham, Brentford.

3.78 days▲Rest daysTottenham · Brentford2.81 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricTottenhamBrentfordBaseline
Rest days3.78 days2.81 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Tottenham have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.1%▲PossessionTottenham · Brentford43.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricTottenhamBrentfordBaseline
Possession53.1%43.1%50.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Tottenham favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Brentford in 3 · 7 too close

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 15/151.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 15/151.6 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/1510.1 shots/match
11.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/1512.3 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/15▲3.93 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/154 shots/match
53.1%Possessionseason · 15/1543.1%
6.07 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/155.47 corners/match
5.53 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/15▲4.73 corners/match
2.53 cards/matchCardsseason · 15/15▲2 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1511.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1513%
87%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1573%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham72.5
Brentford17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham40
Brentford41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham50
Brentford44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham2.5
Brentford37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham82.5
Brentford68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham92.5
Brentford60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham51.2
Brentford51.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10 shots/matchShots5/59.8 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/53.4 shots/match
52.2%Possession5/544.4%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
3.4 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.5 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.9 shots/matchShots10/10▲11 shots/match
3.1 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.3 shots/match
50.2%Possession10/1045%
6 corners/matchCorners10/105.6 corners/match
2.9 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 15 matches
1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored15/151.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.8 shots/matchShots15/1510.1 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲3.93 shots/match
53.1%Possession15/1543.1%
6.07 corners/matchCorners15/155.47 corners/match
2.53 cards/matchCards15/152 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored8/80.75 goals/match
1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/82 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.4 shots/match▲Shots8/89.13 shots/match
3.38 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83.13 shots/match
56.4%Possession8/847.5%
6 corners/matchCorners8/86.5 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards8/82 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls8/811 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.78 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.81 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsTottenhamBrentford
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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