Premier League · 2025Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 16:30 UTCFull timeStamford BridgeFull-time recap

Chelsea

WLWWW

1–1Full-time recap

Arsenal

WWWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Chelsea	Arsenal
Shots	11 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Possession	38%	62%
Corners	3 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	13 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	6 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.38 corners/match▲CornersChelsea · Arsenal6.31 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Chelsea	Arsenal	Baseline
Corners	6.38 corners/match	6.31 corners/match	5.19 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Chelsea favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Arsenal in 6 · 7 too close

1.85 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/131.92 goals/match

0.92 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/13▲0.54 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

14.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/1314.4 shots/match

9.23 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/13▲7.31 shots/match

5.46 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/134.92 shots/match

2.85 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/13▲2.08 shots/match

57.8%Possessionseason · 13/1359%

6.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/136.31 corners/match

3.77 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/13▲2.92 corners/match

2.38 cards/matchCardsseason · 13/13▲1.38 cards/match

11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1310.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

46%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/13▲54%

92%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1392%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Chelsea87.5

Arsenal92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Chelsea87.5

Arsenal85

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Chelsea86.7

Arsenal97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Chelsea57.5

Arsenal52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Chelsea75

Arsenal30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Chelsea97.5

Arsenal92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Chelsea85

Arsenal76.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/50.8 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

15.4 shots/match▲Shots5/512.8 shots/match

6.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/56 shots/match

55.6%Possession5/559.6%

7.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

1.8 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match

11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.9 goals/match

1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.6 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.9 shots/match

5.5 shots/matchShots on target10/105.5 shots/match

56.6%Possession10/1061.3%

6.1 corners/matchCorners10/106.8 corners/match

2.6 cards/matchCards10/101.2 cards/match

11.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches

1.85 goals/matchGoals scored13/131.92 goals/match

0.92 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲0.54 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14.2 shots/matchShots13/1314.4 shots/match

5.46 shots/match▲Shots on target13/134.92 shots/match

57.8%Possession13/1359%

6.38 corners/matchCorners13/136.31 corners/match

2.38 cards/matchCards13/131.38 cards/match

11.3 fouls/matchFouls13/1310.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches

1.43 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71.29 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲0.71 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14.9 shots/match▲Shots7/713.3 shots/match

5.29 shots/match▲Shots on target7/75 shots/match

58.4%Possession7/756.1%

7.29 corners/matchCorners7/76.43 corners/match

1.71 cards/matchCards7/72.14 cards/match

11.1 fouls/matchFouls7/711.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.17 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match