Premier League · 2025Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeSelhurst ParkFull-time recap

Crystal Palace

WLDLW

0–0Full-time recap

Brighton

WDWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Crystal Palace	Brighton
Shots	10 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	2 shots/match	3 shots/match▲
Possession	42%	58%
Corners	4 corners/match	8 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Crystal Palace favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Brighton in 3 · 7 too close

1.27 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/11▲1.55 goals/match

0.82 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/111.36 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/1112.1 shots/match

10.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/1110.6 shots/match

4.45 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/114.55 shots/match

3.18 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 11/113.45 shots/match

41.7%Possessionseason · 11/1148.9%

3.82 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/115.09 corners/match

5.91 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/11▲4 corners/match

1.73 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 11/112.55 cards/match

10.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1112.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

45%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1118%

64%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/11▲82%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Crystal Palace7.5

Brighton42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Crystal Palace62.5

Brighton69.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Crystal Palace78.3

Brighton66.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Crystal Palace97.5

Brighton77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace36.2

Brighton87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace20

Brighton42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Crystal Palace49.4

Brighton66.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.6 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.2 shots/match

44%Possession5/553.6%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match

1 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match

10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.6 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.4 shots/matchShots10/1012.3 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target10/104.6 shots/match

43.1%Possession10/1048.8%

4 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match

1.6 cards/matchCards10/102.5 cards/match

10.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1012 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches

1.27 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲1.55 goals/match

0.82 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.36 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.3 shots/matchShots11/1112.1 shots/match

4.45 shots/matchShots on target11/114.55 shots/match

41.7%Possession11/1148.9%

3.82 corners/matchCorners11/115.09 corners/match

1.73 cards/matchCards11/112.55 cards/match

10.4 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches

1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.17 goals/match

0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.67 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13 shots/match▲Shots6/612 shots/match

4.83 shots/match▲Shots on target6/63.83 shots/match

42.7%Possession6/653.2%

4 corners/matchCorners6/65.83 corners/match

1.17 cards/matchCards6/63.67 cards/match

9.33 fouls/matchFouls6/612.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.96 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples11 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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