Premier League · 2025City Ground

Nottingham Forest 0–3 Chelsea · Premier League

0–3Historical match

Chelsea

WDLLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chelsea won 0–3.

Shots
1217
Shots on target
26
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chelsea beat Nottingham Forest 3–0. Recorded in this match (Nottingham Forest – Chelsea): shots 12–17, shots on target 2–6, possession 50%–50%, corners 5–2. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nottingham Forest's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nottingham Forest's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.63 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Nottingham Forest have a visible home split

weak

Nottingham Forest's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14 shots/match11.5 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Chelsea show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Chelsea's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsNottingham Forest · Chelsea13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNottingham ForestChelseaBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match11 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots17 shotsNottingham Forest 12 shots, Chelsea 17 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsNottingham Forest 2 shots, Chelsea 6 shots
  • Possession50%50%Nottingham Forest 50%, Chelsea 50%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersNottingham Forest 5 corners, Chelsea 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls16 foulsNottingham Forest 13 fouls, Chelsea 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsNottingham Forest 2 cards, Chelsea 4 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Nottingham Forest
2Draws
2Chelsea
Nottingham Forest — Chelsea · Premier League0–1
Chelsea — Nottingham Forest · Premier League1–1
Nottingham Forest — Chelsea · Premier League2–3
Chelsea — Nottingham Forest · Premier League0–1
Chelsea — Nottingham Forest · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nottingham Forest favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · Chelsea in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nottingham Forest8 matchesChelsea8 matches
0.63 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.13 goals/match
11.5 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 13.4 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 4.75 shots/match
55.4%Possession8/8● 59.1%
4.75 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.88 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards8/82.75 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls8/811 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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