UEFA Champions League · 2025Stamford Bridge

Chelsea 5–1 AFC Ajax · UEFA Champions League

5–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chelsea won 5–1.

Shots
222
Shots on target
101
Expected goals
3.651.05
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chelsea beat AFC Ajax 5–1. Recorded in this match (Chelsea – AFC Ajax): shots 22–2, shots on target 10–1, expected goals 3.65–1.05, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AFC Ajax show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

AFC Ajax's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsChelsea · AFC Ajax7.33 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricChelseaAFC AjaxBaseline
Shots13 shots/match7.33 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against9 shots/match15 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Chelsea have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.3% ●PossessionChelsea · AFC Ajax47.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricChelseaAFC AjaxBaseline
Possession55.3%47.3%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots2 shotsChelsea 22 shots, AFC Ajax 2 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots1 shotChelsea 10 shots, AFC Ajax 1 shot
  • Expected goals3.65 xG1.05 xGChelsea 3.65 xG, AFC Ajax 1.05 xG
  • Possession66%34%Chelsea 66%, AFC Ajax 34%
  • Corners11 corners0 cornersChelsea 11 corners, AFC Ajax 0 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls6 foulsChelsea 15 fouls, AFC Ajax 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jamie Gittens · Chelsea · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMoisés Caicedo · Chelsea · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMoisés Caicedo · Chelsea · 27′ · 0.03 xG · goalJorrel Hato · Chelsea · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosh Acheampong · Chelsea · 62′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJamie Gittens · Chelsea · 64′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEstêvão · Chelsea · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRoméo Lavia · Chelsea · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEstêvão · Chelsea · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEstêvão · Chelsea · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Buonanotte · Chelsea · 37′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedTyrique George · Chelsea · 48′ · 0.14 xG · goalMika Godts · AFC Ajax · 7′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedMarc Guiu · Chelsea · 13′ · 0.25 xG · on targetMarc Guiu · Chelsea · 18′ · 0.40 xG · goalWout Weghorst · AFC Ajax · 33′ · 0.82 xG · goalEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goalEstêvão · Chelsea · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Chelsea: 16 shots, 8 on target, 2.91 xG. AFC Ajax: 2 shots, 1 on target, 1.07 xG. · 6 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Marc Guiu · Chelsea · 18′Moisés Caicedo · Chelsea · 27′Enzo Fernández · Chelsea · 45′Estêvão · Chelsea · 45′Tyrique George · Chelsea · 48′Wout Weghorst · AFC Ajax · 33′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Chelsea 2.91 xG · AFC Ajax 1.07 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chelsea favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · AFC Ajax in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chelsea3 matchesAFC Ajax3 matches
2.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/30.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/33.67 goals/match
1.77 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.04 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots3/37.33 shots/match
5.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/31.67 shots/match
55.3% ●Possession3/347.3%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners3/33.33 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls3/311 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 22 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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