Premier League · 2025Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeVitality StadiumFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBournemouthNewcastle
Shots11 shots/match4 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match1 shots/match
Possession56%44%
Corners5 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Newcastle's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.4 corners/matchCornersBournemouth · Newcastle5.8 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBournemouthNewcastleBaseline
Corners6.4 corners/match5.8 corners/match5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Newcastle show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Newcastle's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/matchShotsBournemouth · Newcastle10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBournemouthNewcastleBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match10.8 shots/match10.7 shots/match
Shots against8 shots/match7.4 shots/match10.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bournemouth favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Newcastle in 5 · 4 too close

1.2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/50.6 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/50.6 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
13.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/510.8 shots/match
8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/57.4 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/52.6 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/52.6 shots/match
48.8%Possessionseason · 5/551.2%
6.4 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/55.8 corners/match
3 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/53.6 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/51.4 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/512.6 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
60%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/580%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/540%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bournemouth47.5
Newcastle57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bournemouth68.3
Newcastle27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bournemouth75
Newcastle90
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bournemouth92.5
Newcastle32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth82.5
Newcastle50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth87.5
Newcastle67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bournemouth76.2
Newcastle53.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.6 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
13.6 shots/matchShots5/510.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/52.6 shots/match
48.8%Possession5/551.2%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.6 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
13.6 shots/matchShots5/510.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/52.6 shots/match
48.8%Possession5/551.2%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.6 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
13.6 shots/matchShots5/510.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/52.6 shots/match
48.8%Possession5/551.2%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/30 goals/match
0.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
12.7 shots/matchShots3/39.33 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/32 shots/match
55.3%Possession3/353.7%
5.67 corners/matchCorners3/34.33 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/31 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls3/312 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.96 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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