PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.40.4
Expected goals
1.581.01
Shots
12.214.4
Possession
45.4%60.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 0 to Leeds United, 1 drawn, 4 to Tottenham Hotspur. From this fixture's own record: tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.4%PossessionLeeds United · Tottenham Hotspur● 60.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLeeds UnitedTottenham HotspurBaseline
Possession45.4%60.6%47.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Leeds United favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 3 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Leeds United5 matchesTottenham Hotspur5 matches
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match
0.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.58 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.01 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 14.4 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 3.8 shots/match
45.4%Possession5/5● 60.6%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/5● 7.6 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Leeds United
1Draws
4Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur — Leeds United · Premier League1–1
Leeds United — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–2
Leeds United — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–4
Tottenham Hotspur — Leeds United · Premier League4–3
Leeds United — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness49 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Nov 2026, 12:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLeeds UnitedTottenham Hotspur
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headLeeds United — Tottenham Hotspur
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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