PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Arsenal vs Hull City · Premier League

Arsenal

WWWWL
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.61.2
Expected goals
1.71.04
Shots
1312
Possession
59.6%32.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: arsenal have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: hull City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Arsenal have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.6% ●PossessionArsenal · Hull City32.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 27.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricArsenalHull CityBaseline
Possession59.6%32.4%47.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Hull City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Hull City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsArsenal · Hull City12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricArsenalHull CityBaseline
Shots13 shots/match12 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Arsenal favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Hull City in 0 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Arsenal5 matchesHull City5 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
1.7 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.04 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots5/512 shots/match
4.8 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
59.6% ●Possession5/532.4%
5 corners/match ●Corners5/53.4 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness49 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsArsenalHull City
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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