PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Fulham vs Newcastle United · Premier League

Fulham

LLLDD
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
11.8
Expected goals
1.551.05
Shots
14.410.2
Possession
54.2%48.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 3 to Fulham, 0 drawn, 2 to Newcastle United. From this fixture's own record: fulham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Fulham show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fulham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsFulham · Newcastle United10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFulhamNewcastle UnitedBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match10.2 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against16.6 shots/match19.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Fulham have a visible home split

weak

Fulham's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fulham favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Newcastle United in 2 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fulham5 matchesNewcastle United5 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.8 goals/match
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
1.55 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.05 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots5/510.2 shots/match
4.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match
54.2% ●Possession5/548.6%
5.6 corners/match ●Corners5/54.4 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Fulham
0Draws
2Newcastle United
Fulham — Newcastle United · Premier League2–0
Newcastle United — Fulham · Premier League2–1
Newcastle United — Fulham · Premier League1–2
Fulham — Newcastle United · Premier League3–1
Fulham — Newcastle United · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness49 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFulhamNewcastle United
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headFulham — Newcastle United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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