PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Bournemouth vs Leeds United · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.21.4
Expected goals
1.441.58
Shots
13.612.2
Possession
47.8%45.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: leeds United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second reading clears the same sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Leeds United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Leeds United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsBournemouth · Leeds United12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBournemouthLeeds UnitedBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bournemouth favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Leeds United in 5 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bournemouth5 matchesLeeds United5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.6 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.58 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots5/512.2 shots/match
5.2 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match
47.8% ●Possession5/545.4%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/5● 4.4 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bournemouth
2Draws
1Leeds United
Bournemouth — Leeds United · Premier League2–2
Leeds United — Bournemouth · Premier League2–2
Bournemouth — Leeds United · Premier League4–1
Leeds United — Bournemouth · Premier League4–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness41 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBournemouthLeeds United
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headBournemouth — Leeds United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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