Eredivisie · 2026

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag · Eredivisie

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.861
Expected goals
0.910.89
Shots
10.611.9
Possession
40%49.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: ADO Den Haag have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: PEC Zwolle's home-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

PEC Zwolle have a visible home split

weak

PEC Zwolle's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.33 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.33 shots/match10.6 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

ADO Den Haag's recent record differs from the season

weak

ADO Den Haag's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.79 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

11.3 fouls/matchFoulsPEC Zwolle · ADO Den Haag13.9 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricPEC ZwolleADO Den HaagBaseline
Fouls11.3 fouls/match13.9 fouls/match10.1 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PEC Zwolle favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · ADO Den Haag in 9 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PEC Zwolle7 matchesADO Den Haag7 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1 goal/match
2.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 2.43 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals7/70.89 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 11.9 shots/match
3.43 shots/matchShots on target7/73.57 shots/match
40%Possession7/7● 49.3%
4.14 corners/match ●Corners7/74 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls7/713.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness44 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 11:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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