PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
11.43
Expected goals
0.891.63
Shots
11.913.1
Possession
49.3%45.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: ADO Den Haag's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

ADO Den Haag's recent record differs from the season

weak

ADO Den Haag's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.79 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: ADO Den Haag favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Sparta Rotterdam in 6 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

ADO Den Haag7 matchesSparta Rotterdam7 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.43 goals/match
2.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/72.43 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.63 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 13.1 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4.29 shots/match
49.3% ●Possession7/745.4%
4 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6 corners/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls7/710.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness49 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsADO Den HaagSparta Rotterdam
CompetitionEredivisie
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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