PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Internacional de Bogotá vs Independiente Medellín · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.241.48
Expected goals
1.081.27
Shots
13.214.7
Possession
45.5%52.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: independiente Medellín's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Alongside it: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Independiente Medellín have a visible away split

moderate

Independiente Medellín's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match14.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5 corners/matchCornersInternacional de Bogotá · Independiente Medellín● 5.14 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricInternacional de BogotáIndependiente MedellínBaseline
Corners5 corners/match5.14 corners/match4.41 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Internacional de Bogotá favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Independiente Medellín in 11 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Internacional de Bogotá33 matchesIndependiente Medellín29 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored33/29▲ 1.48 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed33/29▲ 1.28 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals26/24▲ 1.27 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots32/29▲ 14.7 shots/match
4.78 shots/matchShots on target32/294.97 shots/match
45.5%Possession32/29● 52.9%
5 corners/matchCorners32/29● 5.14 corners/match
3.33 cards/matchCards6/123.92 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls32/2911.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Internacional de Bogotá
0Draws
0Independiente Medellín
Independiente Medellín — Internacional de Bogotá · Primera A1–2

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness32 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Oct 2026, 01:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInternacional de BogotáIndependiente Medellín
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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