PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

América de Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.51.17
Expected goals
1.170.82
Shots
13.511.6
Possession
54.2%52.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: fortaleza CEIF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: américa de Cali's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Fortaleza CEIF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fortaleza CEIF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

América de Cali have a visible home split

moderate

América de Cali's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América de Cali favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Fortaleza CEIF in 2 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América de Cali32 matchesFortaleza CEIF30 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/301.17 goals/match
0.81 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/301.5 goals/match
1.17 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/260.82 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots32/3011.6 shots/match
4.59 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/303.77 shots/match
54.2% ●Possession32/3052.7%
4.06 corners/matchCorners32/30● 4.23 corners/match
3.7 cards/matchCards10/113.82 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls32/3012 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1América de Cali
0Draws
0Fortaleza CEIF
Fortaleza CEIF — América de Cali · Primera A1–2

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmérica de CaliFortaleza CEIF
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required