Primera A · 2026

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.711.23
Expected goals
0.751.28
Shots
8.7314
Possession
44.9%56%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: deportes Tolima's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: deportivo Pereira's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Deportes Tolima show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Deportes Tolima's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.73 shots/match ▲ShotsDeportivo Pereira · Deportes Tolima14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo PereiraDeportes TolimaBaseline
Shots8.73 shots/match14 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against16.3 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Deportes Tolima's recent record differs from the season

weak

Deportes Tolima's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match14 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Deportivo Pereira have a visible home split

moderate

Deportivo Pereira's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season8.73 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match8.73 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Pereira favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Deportes Tolima in 12 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Pereira31 matchesDeportes Tolima39 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored31/39▲ 1.23 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed31/39▲ 0.95 goals/match
0.75 xG/matchExpected goals26/32▲ 1.28 xG/match
8.73 shots/matchShots30/37▲ 14 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target30/37▲ 4.86 shots/match
44.9%Possession30/37● 56%
2.6 corners/matchCorners30/37● 5.22 corners/match
3.4 cards/matchCards10/103.9 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls30/3710.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Deportivo Pereira
0Draws
1Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima — Deportivo Pereira · Primera A2–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples31 / 39home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness19 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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