PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Millonarios vs América de Cali · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.521.5
Expected goals
1.31.14
Shots
15.213.4
Possession
48.7%54.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: américa de Cali's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: américa de Cali's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

América de Cali's recent record differs from the season

moderate

América de Cali's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.5 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

América de Cali have a visible away split

moderate

América de Cali's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Millonarios favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · América de Cali in 3 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Millonarios33 matchesAmérica de Cali34 matches
1.52 goals/matchGoals scored33/341.5 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed33/34▲ 0.85 goals/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/311.14 xG/match
15.2 shots/match ▲Shots33/3413.4 shots/match
5.76 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/344.59 shots/match
48.7%Possession33/34● 54.3%
5.7 corners/match ●Corners33/344 corners/match
4 cards/matchCards8/113.73 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls33/3412 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Millonarios
0Draws
1América de Cali
América de Cali — Millonarios · Primera A3–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples33 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness18 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 27 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMillonariosAmérica de Cali
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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