PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

1. FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus · 2. Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
22.14
Expected goals
1.831.8
Shots
15.316.4
Possession
47.1%53.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: 1. FC Heidenheim's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

1. FC Heidenheim have a visible home split

weak

1. FC Heidenheim's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19 shots/match15.3 shots/match15.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Heidenheim favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Energie Cottbus in 4 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Heidenheim7 matchesEnergie Cottbus7 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2.14 goals/match
1.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72.29 goals/match
1.83 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.8 xG/match
15.3 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 16.4 shots/match
5.43 shots/matchShots on target7/75.71 shots/match
47.1%Possession7/7● 53.9%
4.86 corners/matchCorners7/7● 7.86 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls7/713 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness15 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC HeidenheimEnergie Cottbus
Competition2. Bundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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