PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

1. FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus · 2. Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.332.33
Expected goals
2.011.86
Shots
15.717.5
Possession
46.7%53.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: 1. FC Heidenheim's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

1. FC Heidenheim have a visible home split

weak

1. FC Heidenheim's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

21 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots21 shots/match15.7 shots/match15.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Heidenheim favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Energie Cottbus in 3 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Heidenheim6 matchesEnergie Cottbus6 matches
2.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/62.33 goals/match
2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62.17 goals/match
2.01 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.86 xG/match
15.7 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 17.5 shots/match
5.67 shots/matchShots on target6/65.67 shots/match
46.7%Possession6/6● 53.3%
4.5 corners/matchCorners6/6● 7.83 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls6/613.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness34 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC HeidenheimEnergie Cottbus
Competition2. Bundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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