PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld · 2. Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.711.57
Expected goals
1.981.45
Shots
18.613.3
Possession
47.6%46%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: arminia Bielefeld's away-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Arminia Bielefeld have a visible away split

weak

Arminia Bielefeld's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.3 shots/match15.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Arminia Bielefeld show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Arminia Bielefeld's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

18.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHertha BSC · Arminia Bielefeld13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHertha BSCArminia BielefeldBaseline
Shots18.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match15.3 shots/match
Shots against13.9 shots/match13.5 shots/match15.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hertha BSC favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Arminia Bielefeld in 2 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hertha BSC7 matchesArminia Bielefeld7 matches
2.71 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.57 goals/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.71 goals/match
1.98 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/61.45 xG/match
18.6 shots/match ▲Shots7/613.3 shots/match
6.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/64 shots/match
47.6% ●Possession7/646%
5.57 corners/matchCorners7/6● 6.17 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls7/612.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Hertha BSC
2Draws
1Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld — Hertha BSC · 2. Bundesliga6–1
Hertha BSC — Arminia Bielefeld · 2. Bundesliga1–1
Arminia Bielefeld — Hertha BSC · Bundesliga1–1
Hertha BSC — Arminia Bielefeld · Bundesliga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness13 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHertha BSCArminia Bielefeld
Competition2. Bundesliga
Head-to-headHertha BSC — Arminia Bielefeld
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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