PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC · 2. Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.831
Expected goals
1.121.3
Shots
14.817.2
Possession
53%47.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: karlsruher SC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Karlsruher SC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Karlsruher SC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Magdeburg favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Karlsruher SC in 4 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Magdeburg6 matchesKarlsruher SC6 matches
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61 goal/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.3 xG/match
14.8 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 17.2 shots/match
5.33 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5.83 shots/match
53% ●Possession6/647.3%
5.67 corners/matchCorners6/6● 6.67 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls6/614.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

01. FC Magdeburg
1Draws
4Karlsruher SC
1. FC Magdeburg — Karlsruher SC · 2. Bundesliga1–3
Karlsruher SC — 1. FC Magdeburg · 2. Bundesliga1–0
Karlsruher SC — 1. FC Magdeburg · 2. Bundesliga3–1
1. FC Magdeburg — Karlsruher SC · 2. Bundesliga2–2
Karlsruher SC — 1. FC Magdeburg · 2. Bundesliga7–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC MagdeburgKarlsruher SC
Competition2. Bundesliga
Head-to-head1. FC Magdeburg — Karlsruher SC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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