PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

SG Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg · 2. Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.331.83
Expected goals
1.211.12
Shots
12.714.8
Possession
55%53%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: SG Dynamo Dresden's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

SG Dynamo Dresden's recent record differs from the season

weak

SG Dynamo Dresden's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SG Dynamo Dresden show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

SG Dynamo Dresden's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsSG Dynamo Dresden · 1. FC Magdeburg14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSG Dynamo Dresden1. FC MagdeburgBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match14.8 shots/match15.1 shots/match
Shots against16.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match15.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SG Dynamo Dresden favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · 1. FC Magdeburg in 11 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SG Dynamo Dresden6 matches1. FC Magdeburg6 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.83 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.21 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.12 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 14.8 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5.33 shots/match
55% ●Possession6/653%
6.67 corners/match ●Corners6/65.67 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls6/611.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SG Dynamo Dresden
0Draws
11. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Magdeburg — SG Dynamo Dresden · 2. Bundesliga1–2
SG Dynamo Dresden — 1. FC Magdeburg · 2. Bundesliga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness30 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSG Dynamo Dresden1. FC Magdeburg
Competition2. Bundesliga
Head-to-headSG Dynamo Dresden — 1. FC Magdeburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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