PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück · 2. Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.61.6
Expected goals
1.651.53
Shots
14.814.4
Possession
46.8%41.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: arminia Bielefeld's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Arminia Bielefeld show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Arminia Bielefeld's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsArminia Bielefeld · VfL Osnabrück14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricArminia BielefeldVfL OsnabrückBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match14.4 shots/match15.5 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match19.8 shots/match15.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Arminia Bielefeld favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · VfL Osnabrück in 1 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Arminia Bielefeld5 matchesVfL Osnabrück5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
1.65 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.53 xG/match
14.8 shots/matchShots5/514.4 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 5.4 shots/match
46.8% ●Possession5/541.8%
6.4 corners/match ●Corners5/53.8 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness37 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsArminia BielefeldVfL Osnabrück
Competition2. Bundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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