PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.51.5
Expected goals
1.551.54
Shots
14.313.8
Possession
41.8%49.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: vfL Osnabrück's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

VfL Osnabrück's recent record differs from the season

weak

VfL Osnabrück's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Osnabrück favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 6 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Osnabrück6 matchesSpVgg Greuther Fürth6 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/61.5 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.83 goals/match
1.55 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.54 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots6/613.8 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5.83 shots/match
41.8%Possession6/6● 49.2%
3.33 corners/matchCorners6/6● 5 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls6/68.83 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1VfL Osnabrück
0Draws
1SpVgg Greuther Fürth
VfL Osnabrück — SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga2–0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — VfL Osnabrück · 2. Bundesliga4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness37 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL OsnabrückSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Competition2. Bundesliga
Head-to-headVfL Osnabrück — SpVgg Greuther Fürth
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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