PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.431.43
Expected goals
1.531.47
Shots
14.114.3
Possession
42.1%50.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: spVgg Greuther Fürth have recorded the higher season possession share. No second reading clears the same sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

SpVgg Greuther Fürth have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.1%PossessionVfL Osnabrück · SpVgg Greuther Fürth● 50.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVfL OsnabrückSpVgg Greuther FürthBaseline
Possession42.1%50.4%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Osnabrück favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 5 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Osnabrück7 matchesSpVgg Greuther Fürth7 matches
1.43 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.43 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.86 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.47 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots7/714.3 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 5.71 shots/match
42.1%Possession7/7● 50.4%
3.43 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls7/78.71 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1VfL Osnabrück
0Draws
1SpVgg Greuther Fürth
VfL Osnabrück — SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga2–0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — VfL Osnabrück · 2. Bundesliga4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness15 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL OsnabrückSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Competition2. Bundesliga
Head-to-headVfL Osnabrück — SpVgg Greuther Fürth
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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