Season Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Goals scored 1.5 – 1.17
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.53
Shots 13.8 – 14.8
Possession 49.2% – 54.8% Story Comparison H2H Evidence More football 30-second read
What the record shows The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 2 to SpVgg Greuther Fürth, 0 drawn, 3 to Holstein Kiel. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.
Metric comparison
Team comparison Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Where the edge is Season: SpVgg Greuther Fürth favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Holstein Kiel in 4 · 6 too close
▲ recorded edge● higher value (descriptive) too close
Season Last 10 Last 5 Home–Away Style profile Rest and recent workload
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 6 matches Holstein Kiel 6 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲ Goals scored6/6 1.17 goals/match
1.83 goals/match Goals allowed6/6 ▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.54 xG/match Expected goals6/6 1.53 xG/match
13.8 shots/match Shots6/6 ▲ 14.8 shots/match
5.83 shots/match ▲ Shots on target6/6 3.83 shots/match
49.2% Possession6/6 ● 54.8%
5 corners/match Corners6/6 ● 6.67 corners/match
8.83 fouls/match Fouls6/6 14.5 fouls/match
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 6 matches Holstein Kiel 6 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲ Goals scored6/6 1.17 goals/match
1.83 goals/match Goals allowed6/6 ▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.54 xG/match Expected goals6/6 1.53 xG/match
13.8 shots/match Shots6/6 ▲ 14.8 shots/match
5.83 shots/match ▲ Shots on target6/6 3.83 shots/match
49.2% Possession6/6 ● 54.8%
5 corners/match Corners6/6 ● 6.67 corners/match
8.83 fouls/match Fouls6/6 14.5 fouls/match
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 5 matches Holstein Kiel 5 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲ Goals scored5/5 1 goal/match
2 goals/match Goals allowed5/5 ▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.52 xG/match Expected goals5/5 1.56 xG/match
13.6 shots/match Shots5/5 ▲ 15.6 shots/match
5.6 shots/match ▲ Shots on target5/5 3.4 shots/match
50.6% Possession5/5 ● 55.8%
5.6 corners/match Corners5/5 ● 7.2 corners/match
9.6 fouls/match Fouls5/5 14.2 fouls/match
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3 matches Holstein Kiel 3 matches
1 goal/match ▲ Goals scored3/3 0.67 goals/match
2 goals/match Goals allowed3/3 ▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.35 xG/match Expected goals3/3 ▲ 1.44 xG/match
12 shots/match Shots3/3 ▲ 12.7 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲ Shots on target3/3 3.33 shots/match
5 corners/match Corners3/3 5 corners/match
8.33 fouls/match Fouls3/3 15 fouls/match
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Attacking volume Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Defensive resistance Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Directness proxy Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Physicality Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 58% Set-piece relevance Corner volume relative to competition peers.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Tempo and pressure proxy Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches 43.8 days Rest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/1 43.1 days
SpVgg Greuther Fürth / Holstein Kiel
History
Head-to-head Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 Draws
3 Holstein Kiel
31 Jan 2026 Holstein Kiel — SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga 1–2
24 Aug 2025 SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga 0–2
28 Jan 2024 SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga 2–1
5 Aug 2023 Holstein Kiel — SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga 2–1
28 Jan 2023 Holstein Kiel — SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga 2–1
Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis Grade B · Useful evidence Useful evidence — limited
Season samples 6 / 6 home / away teams
Recent samples 5 / 5 last-five windows
Freshness 44 days stale at cutoff
At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff. Known unknowns Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset. Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards. The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff. Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 12:30 UTC · analysis-v4 Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga