Holstein Kiel
2. Bundesliga · 2026Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld · 2. Bundesliga
Season
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
- Goals scored
- 1.17–1.67
- Expected goals
- 1.53–1.45
- Shots
- 14.8–13.3
- Possession
- 54.8%–46%
30-second read
What the record shows
One pattern stands out in the record: holstein Kiel have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: arminia Bielefeld's away-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
Arminia Bielefeld have a visible away split
weakArminia Bielefeld's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: away
| Metric | Away only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 16 shots/match | 13.3 shots/match | 15.3 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Both teams have elevated fouls records
weakEach team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Arminia Bielefeld | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 14.5 fouls/match | 12.8 fouls/match | 11.5 fouls/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateHolstein Kiel have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Arminia Bielefeld | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 54.8% | 46% | 48.8% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Holstein Kiel favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Arminia Bielefeld in 5 · 1 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches
Holstein Kiel / Arminia Bielefeld
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
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