PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabrück · 2. Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.51.5
Expected goals
2.011.55
Shots
18.514.3
Possession
57.3%41.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: vfL Wolfsburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: vfL Wolfsburg have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

VfL Wolfsburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

VfL Wolfsburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.5 shots/match ▲ShotsVfL Wolfsburg · VfL Osnabrück14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVfL WolfsburgVfL OsnabrückBaseline
Shots18.5 shots/match14.3 shots/match15.3 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match19.5 shots/match15.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

VfL Osnabrück's recent record differs from the season

weak

VfL Osnabrück's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

VfL Wolfsburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.3% ●PossessionVfL Wolfsburg · VfL Osnabrück41.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVfL WolfsburgVfL OsnabrückBaseline
Possession57.3%41.8%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Wolfsburg favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · VfL Osnabrück in 2

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Wolfsburg6 matchesVfL Osnabrück6 matches
2.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.5 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62 goals/match
2.01 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.55 xG/match
18.5 shots/match ▲Shots6/614.3 shots/match
6.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/65 shots/match
57.3% ●Possession6/641.8%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners6/63.33 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls6/611.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness43 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL WolfsburgVfL Osnabrück
Competition2. Bundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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