PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

Energie Cottbus vs VfL Bochum 1848 · 2. Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.140.71
Expected goals
1.81.43
Shots
16.417.5
Possession
53.9%54%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: vfL Bochum 1848's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

VfL Bochum 1848 show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

VfL Bochum 1848's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsEnergie Cottbus · VfL Bochum 184817.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEnergie CottbusVfL Bochum 1848Baseline
Shots16.4 shots/match17.5 shots/match15.3 shots/match
Shots against17.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match15.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13 fouls/matchFoulsEnergie Cottbus · VfL Bochum 184813 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricEnergie CottbusVfL Bochum 1848Baseline
Fouls13 fouls/match13 fouls/match11.8 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Energie Cottbus favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · VfL Bochum 1848 in 7 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Energie Cottbus7 matchesVfL Bochum 18487 matches
2.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.71 goals/match
2.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1 goal/match
1.8 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/61.43 xG/match
16.4 shots/matchShots7/6▲ 17.5 shots/match
5.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/65 shots/match
53.9%Possession7/6● 54%
7.86 corners/match ●Corners7/66 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls7/613 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness20 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 30 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEnergie CottbusVfL Bochum 1848
Competition2. Bundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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