PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

VfL Bochum 1848 vs VfL Wolfsburg · 2. Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.832.5
Expected goals
1.432.01
Shots
17.518.5
Possession
54%57.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: vfL Bochum 1848's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

VfL Bochum 1848's recent record differs from the season

weak

VfL Bochum 1848's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.83 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13 fouls/matchFoulsVfL Bochum 1848 · VfL Wolfsburg13.3 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricVfL Bochum 1848VfL WolfsburgBaseline
Fouls13 fouls/match13.3 fouls/match11.5 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Bochum 1848 favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 5 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Bochum 18486 matchesVfL Wolfsburg6 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 2.5 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.33 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 2.01 xG/match
17.5 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 18.5 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 6.33 shots/match
54%Possession6/6● 57.3%
6 corners/matchCorners6/6● 6.5 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls6/613.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1VfL Bochum 1848
1Draws
3VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg — VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga1–1
VfL Bochum 1848 — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga1–3
VfL Wolfsburg — VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga1–0
VfL Bochum 1848 — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga3–1
VfL Bochum 1848 — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga1–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL Bochum 1848VfL Wolfsburg
Competition2. Bundesliga
Head-to-headVfL Bochum 1848 — VfL Wolfsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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