PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

VfL Bochum 1848 vs VfL Wolfsburg · 2. Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.712.71
Expected goals
1.432.25
Shots
17.519
Possession
54%56.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: vfL Wolfsburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

VfL Wolfsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfL Wolfsburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.6 goals/match2.71 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13 fouls/matchFoulsVfL Bochum 1848 · VfL Wolfsburg14.9 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricVfL Bochum 1848VfL WolfsburgBaseline
Fouls13 fouls/match14.9 fouls/match11.8 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Bochum 1848 favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 6 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Bochum 18487 matchesVfL Wolfsburg7 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2.71 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.71 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals6/7▲ 2.25 xG/match
17.5 shots/matchShots6/7▲ 19 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target6/7▲ 6.71 shots/match
54%Possession6/7● 56.3%
6 corners/matchCorners6/7● 6.43 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls6/714.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1VfL Bochum 1848
1Draws
3VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg — VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga1–1
VfL Bochum 1848 — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga1–3
VfL Wolfsburg — VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga1–0
VfL Bochum 1848 — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga3–1
VfL Bochum 1848 — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga1–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness13 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL Bochum 1848VfL Wolfsburg
Competition2. Bundesliga
Head-to-headVfL Bochum 1848 — VfL Wolfsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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