PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.141.43
Expected goals
1.081.34
Shots
1214
Possession
40.7%46.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: darmstadt 98's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: FC St. Pauli's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

FC St. Pauli have a visible away split

weak

FC St. Pauli's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match14 shots/match15.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Darmstadt 98 show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Darmstadt 98's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsDarmstadt 98 · FC St. Pauli14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDarmstadt 98FC St. PauliBaseline
Shots12 shots/match14 shots/match15.3 shots/match
Shots against16.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match15.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Darmstadt 98 favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · FC St. Pauli in 11 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Darmstadt 987 matchesFC St. Pauli7 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.43 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.34 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 14 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 5.14 shots/match
40.7%Possession7/7● 46.6%
4.86 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls7/711 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Darmstadt 98
1Draws
1FC St. Pauli
Darmstadt 98 — FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga0–3
FC St. Pauli — Darmstadt 98 · 2. Bundesliga1–1
FC St. Pauli — Darmstadt 98 · 2. Bundesliga1–2
Darmstadt 98 — FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness13 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDarmstadt 98FC St. Pauli
Competition2. Bundesliga
Head-to-headDarmstadt 98 — FC St. Pauli
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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