2. Bundesliga · 2026

Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.831.33
Expected goals
1.031.43
Shots
11.314.2
Possession
40.3%46.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: darmstadt 98's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: darmstadt 98's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

FC St. Pauli have a visible away split

weak

FC St. Pauli's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match14.2 shots/match15.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Darmstadt 98's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Darmstadt 98's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Darmstadt 98 show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Darmstadt 98's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsDarmstadt 98 · FC St. Pauli14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDarmstadt 98FC St. PauliBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match14.2 shots/match15.3 shots/match
Shots against17.5 shots/match13 shots/match15.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Darmstadt 98 favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · FC St. Pauli in 12 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Darmstadt 986 matchesFC St. Pauli6 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.33 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.43 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 14.2 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5 shots/match
40.3%Possession6/6● 46.7%
4.5 corners/matchCorners6/6● 6 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls6/610.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Darmstadt 98
1Draws
1FC St. Pauli
Darmstadt 98 — FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga0–3
FC St. Pauli — Darmstadt 98 · 2. Bundesliga1–1
FC St. Pauli — Darmstadt 98 · 2. Bundesliga1–2
Darmstadt 98 — FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

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