PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.171.33
Expected goals
1.831.43
Shots
16.314.2
Possession
52.5%46.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: FC St. Pauli's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

FC St. Pauli have a visible away split

weak

FC St. Pauli's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match14.2 shots/match15.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hannover 96 favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · FC St. Pauli in 7 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hannover 966 matchesFC St. Pauli6 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.83 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.43 xG/match
16.3 shots/match ▲Shots6/614.2 shots/match
5.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/65 shots/match
52.5% ●Possession6/646.7%
5 corners/matchCorners6/6● 6 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls6/610.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Hannover 96
2Draws
2FC St. Pauli
Hannover 96 — FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga1–2
FC St. Pauli — Hannover 96 · 2. Bundesliga0–0
FC St. Pauli — Hannover 96 · 2. Bundesliga2–0
Hannover 96 — FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga2–2
FC St. Pauli — Hannover 96 · 2. Bundesliga0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness27 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHannover 96FC St. Pauli
Competition2. Bundesliga
Head-to-headHannover 96 — FC St. Pauli
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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