Ligue 1 · 2026

Stade Brestois vs Nice · Ligue 1

vsPre-match analysis

Nice

DLDLW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.40.6
Expected goals
1.791.03
Shots
18.811.8
Possession
46.8%56.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: stade Brestois's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Stade Brestois show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Stade Brestois's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.8 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Brestois · Nice11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade BrestoisNiceBaseline
Shots18.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match13 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.8 corners/matchCornersStade Brestois · Nice5.8 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricStade BrestoisNiceBaseline
Corners5.8 corners/match5.8 corners/match5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Nice have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.8%PossessionStade Brestois · Nice● 56.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricStade BrestoisNiceBaseline
Possession46.8%56.4%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Brestois favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Nice in 4

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Brestois5 matchesNice5 matches
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.79 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.03 xG/match
18.8 shots/match ▲Shots5/511.8 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
46.8%Possession5/5● 56.4%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
15 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Stade Brestois
2Draws
2Nice
Nice — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–2
Stade Brestois — Nice · Ligue 14–1
Nice — Stade Brestois · Ligue 16–0
Stade Brestois — Nice · Ligue 10–1
Stade Brestois — Nice · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness33 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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