PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice · Ligue 1

vsPre-match analysis

Nice

DLDLW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.830.6
Expected goals
1.631.03
Shots
13.311.8
Possession
52.2%56.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: olympique Lyonnais's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Olympique Lyonnais have a visible home split

weak

Olympique Lyonnais's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Nice show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Nice's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsOlympique Lyonnais · Nice11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOlympique LyonnaisNiceBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match13 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique Lyonnais favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Nice in 1 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique Lyonnais6 matchesNice5 matches
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/50.6 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/51.2 goals/match
1.63 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/51.03 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots6/511.8 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/53 shots/match
52.2%Possession6/5● 56.4%
4.83 corners/matchCorners6/5● 5.8 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls6/59.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Olympique Lyonnais
0Draws
1Nice
Olympique Lyonnais — Nice · Ligue 12–0
Nice — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 13–2
Nice — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 10–2
Olympique Lyonnais — Nice · Ligue 14–1
Olympique Lyonnais — Nice · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique LyonnaisNice
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headOlympique Lyonnais — Nice
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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