PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice · Ligue 1

vsPre-match analysis

Nice

DLDL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.50.25
Expected goals
1.40.92
Shots
1312.3
Possession
54%60.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: nice's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Nice show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Nice's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsOlympique Lyonnais · Nice12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOlympique LyonnaisNiceBaseline
Shots13 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match11 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique Lyonnais favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Nice in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique Lyonnais4 matchesNice4 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/40.25 goals/match
0.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
1.4 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.92 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots4/412.3 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/42.75 shots/match
54%Possession4/4● 60.3%
5.5 corners/matchCorners4/4● 6.5 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls4/48.25 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Olympique Lyonnais
0Draws
1Nice
Olympique Lyonnais — Nice · Ligue 12–0
Nice — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 13–2
Nice — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 10–2
Olympique Lyonnais — Nice · Ligue 14–1
Olympique Lyonnais — Nice · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique LyonnaisNice
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headOlympique Lyonnais — Nice
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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