PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Lorient vs AS Monaco · Ligue 1

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
11.6
Expected goals
1.151.12
Shots
10.810.2
Possession
47.8%44.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: AS Monaco's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

AS Monaco show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

AS Monaco's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLorient · AS Monaco10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLorientAS MonacoBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match10.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match15 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lorient favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lorient4 matchesAS Monaco5 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored4/5▲ 1.6 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed4/5▲ 0.6 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.12 xG/match
10.8 shots/match ▲Shots4/510.2 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target4/5▲ 4.6 shots/match
47.8% ●Possession4/544.4%
2.25 corners/matchCorners4/5● 3.6 corners/match
7.75 fouls/matchFouls4/511 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lorient
2Draws
1AS Monaco
AS Monaco — Lorient · Ligue 11–3
Lorient — AS Monaco · Ligue 13–1
AS Monaco — Lorient · Ligue 12–2
Lorient — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–2
AS Monaco — Lorient · Ligue 13–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLorientAS Monaco
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headLorient — AS Monaco
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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